Rankings are very fashionable among politicians and policy experts. Universities are no exception to this. Yet they are very controversial, and there are endless fights about a ‘fair’ methodology. Recently, the German political science association even recommended its member institutions not to participate in the most important German ranking any longer
Indeed, loosers of these rankings often complain and maybe sometimes for good reasons. One option is not to produce rankings, but another option is to produce other rankings. I, for once, would love to see an international ranking of the average university in a country. I think this would make a big difference. The reason is that many countries, especially in Europe, but maybe also in Asia have social and political preferences for redistribution and the equalization of standards of living. These countries carefully avoid too much social and regional heterogeneity. Money flows from rich to poor individuals, from strong to weak regions. Under these circumstances, we should not expect universities to reach the top of international rankings. A fairer measure would be how good a university on average would do, compared to an average university in another country.
Currently there is not enough data to do this. But we can do some simple exercises with the available rankings. I choose the Times Higher Education Ranking for 2012-3 with detailed info for the top 200 and less detailed info for the next 200. From this I compute the country average of those universities listed. This gives a different view on who is top and who is not.
We all know that US universities dominate the top. But how do they do on average? If we use the detailed info for the top 200 we see that the US is not top any more but third (See table 1). China and Singapore rank 1 and 2 respectively. This seems exaggerated, and indeed it is. The problem is, we do not get information about the weakest universities, since they do not appear in the ranking. Stats people call this selection bias.
There is no way to avoid the problem, but we can at least extend the list to the top 400 universities (see table 2). If we look at the averages for the top 400 we see that the US is now fifth and Singapore is top (after all there are not that many universities in Singapore). China goes down the table. The Netherlands is now second. These are mock results. I am not saying that these are the real country rankings. But they illustrate the idea.
In more general we see that many European countries improve once we look at the averages of a larger number of universities. Countries that redistribute less go down in the ranking. Japan, Australia are extreme cases. There are important exceptions to this rule, such as Switzerland or Israel, not the most benevolent welfare state, but shooting up in the rankings. And yet, for countries in which the whole polity is built around avoiding excess inequality, it would be wise to focus on averages and not the champions.
Table 1: Countries Ranked by Average University’s Position in Top200
location | avg. university rank | country rank |
China |
49 |
1 |
Singapore |
58 |
2 |
United States |
86 |
3 |
Republic of Korea |
90 |
4 |
Australia |
93 |
5 |
Canada |
93 |
6 |
Sweden |
97 |
7 |
Japan |
99 |
8 |
Switzerland |
100 |
9 |
Netherlands |
100 |
10 |
Hong Kong |
102 |
11 |
Finland |
109 |
12 |
United Kingdom |
111 |
13 |
South Africa |
113 |
14 |
France |
116 |
15 |
Germany |
122 |
16 |
Belgium |
127 |
17 |
Denmark |
132 |
18 |
Taiwan |
134 |
19 |
Republic of Ireland |
149 |
20 |
Brazil |
158 |
21 |
New Zealand |
161 |
22 |
Austria |
162 |
23 |
Israel |
163 |
24 |
Table 2 Countries Ranked by Average University’s Position in Top400
location | avg. university rank | country rank |
Singapore |
58 |
1 |
Netherlands |
109 |
2 |
Switzerland |
128 |
3 |
Republic of Korea |
135 |
4 |
United States |
155 |
5 |
Israel |
163 |
6 |
Hong Kong |
166 |
7 |
Sweden |
182 |
8 |
United Kingdom |
183 |
9 |
France |
188 |
10 |
Canada |
191 |
11 |
Germany |
204 |
12 |
Belgium |
207 |
13 |
Brazil |
211 |
14 |
Denmark |
212 |
15 |
Russian Federation |
226 |
16 |
China |
228 |
17 |
Japan |
230 |
18 |
Australia |
232 |
19 |
South Africa |
248 |
20 |
Turkey |
253 |
21 |
Norway |
260 |
22 |
Iceland |
263 |
23 |
Republic of Irel |
265 |
24 |
Austria |
269 |
25 |
Finland |
280 |
26 |
New Zealand |
282 |
27 |
Taiwan |
291 |
28 |
India |
292 |
29 |
Spain |
299 |
30 |
Italy |
315 |
31 |
Czech Republic |
326 |
32 |
Greece |
326 |
32 |
Iran |
326 |
32 |
Saudi Arabia |
326 |
32 |
Colombia |
376 |
36 |
Estonia |
376 |
36 |
Mexico |
376 |
36 |
Poland |
376 |
36 |
Portugal |
376 |
36 |
Thailand |
376 |
36 |
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